Thursday, December 20, 2018

Steelers vs Saints & The Numbers

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5.5 Point Underdogs with a Money Line of +215 as they Travel down to New Orleans Super Dome on Sunday. The Saints Played a Tough Division Game vs Carolina with Playoff Implications on the Line on Monday Night. HC Mike Tomlin & Staff should be Implementing a Simple Game Plan with a High Run Play percentage. Steelers OC Randy Fichtner & QB Ben Roethlisberger lean heavily on the Short Passing Game to allow his Playmakers to create Yards after Catch. Roethlisberger is leading the NFL in the QB Yards after Catch department. The Steelers Offense has been Converting TDs in the Red Area at an NFL High Rate. The Offense has to stay Creative on 3rd Downs to maintain Possession to have a High Drive Success Rate to keep the Defense Fresh. OC Fichtner has to Limit Roethlisbergers Attempts & Aggressiveness to lower his high Turnover Rate. Roethlisberger leads the NFL in Red Area Interceptions and has 6 Fumbles on the year. The Steelers Defense has been playing at a higher level up front on the Interior Line and off the Edges to Create Sacks Pressures Hurries & Play Disruption. DC Keith Butler has the Steelers Blitzing at an NFL high Rate. They are going to need to consistently apply pressure to force MVP Candidate Brees into low Bad Pass percentages which is going to be hard because he is so Smart & Precise with the Ball. The Steelers Secondary will have to Play Smart & have successfull Pre/Post Snap Communications. DC Butler will have to make in game defensive Adjustments to stay on top of The Saints HC Sean Payton & Offense. I believe the Steelers Defense Matches up Good with The Saints offense. Thoe Saints will Run the Ball with Power & look to get WR Michael Thomas into favorable matchups. The Steelers DC can't allow Thomas to get matched up on LBs in the Slot. HC Payton & QB Brees will be looking to exploit those Deficiencies all night. The Steelers Field Goal Kicker Boswell has been struggling bad and they need him to convert. However I still have Steelers Winning this Game by 2-4 Points. I am giving the Edge to Steelers OL & WRs on Offense and DL & Edge Rushers on Defense. I am not Picking The Steelers to Cover the 5.5 Point Spread but I am Taking the +215 MoneyLine to Win the Game Straight Up. I am also taking the Total to go Under 52.5 in this Defensive Grinder. This is the GOLDLOCK of the WEEK.

No comments:

Post a Comment