KC@SEA Playoff Implications

The Kansas City Chiefs are the No. 1 seed in the AFC and control their own destiny, but a loss could drop them to the No. 5 seed in the conference. Seattle is fighting for a Wild Card spot in the NFC after a Tough loss at San Francisco last week. The Chiefs are the Last AFC Team to Travel to Seattle and Earn a Win back in 2010. I am looking for KC to do it again this Week. Although KC is the Road Team in this Matchup The Sportsbooks have them as Slight 2.5 Point Favorites. KC currently has the Best Offense in the NFL ranking No. 1 in points per game (35.6) yards per game (427.2), and yards per play (6.8). Mahomes deserves the NFL MVP in my opinion. He is a Dynamic Playmaker and his arm gets stronger as the Game & Season Progress. He simply wears Defenses down from the ability to make last second decisions in the Passing or Running Game. However I think Mahomes does have to make better decisions with the ball in big Games. In Key moments vs LAC & LAR within the last month he has came up short Losing those games by a combination of 4 Points. However Seattle also lost back to back games vs LAR & LAC. Seattle's Defense has some serious issues coming into this game. The defense is currently allowing 4.9 yards per rush (27th) and 7.3 yards per pass (25th). They are having trouble playing the Run & Pass so the Oppositions Play book is wide open. Not only are they not Executing but the Defense is plagued with injuries. Here is a Laundry list of Injured Defenders thats OUT/Questionable : Kam Chancellor S Earl Thomas S Bradley McDougal S Tedric Thompson S Maurice Alexander S Shaquill Griffin CB Mychal Kendrick LB K.J. Wright LB Shamar Stephen DT Dion Jordan DE Jarran Reed DT Frank Clark DE There is no way I can Trust this defense to Hold the Best Offense in the NFL and on top of that Seattles Offense is Dealing with Serious Injuries at Key Positions. Their starting RB is Chris Carsons who is 3rd String at Best with 2 of their Starting Gaurds Out in Simmons & Fluker. That's not a Good Combination when Seattle is The most run-heavy offense in the league at 52.2%. Their will be Alot of Pressure on Russ Wilson to Deliver especially if his Top WR Doug Baldwin who is Questionable for this Game is out. QB Russell Wilson has also been inefficient leading to an NFL-best 0.7 turnovers per game. The Chiefs Front 7 is one of the Best in Football & The Strength of their Defense. Plus with the Comeback of All Pro Safety Eric Berry back in the Lineup I look for This Overall Unit to have a High Turnover Probability from Forcing Wilson out of the Pocket creating Sacks Pressures & Hurries. I give the Edge to KC to Cover the Spread based off of this Injury List & Situational Play Based Factors. The Over is in Play as well on the Point Total of 54. I don't see either Defense being able to Shut down the Run Game so regardless of what happens in the Passing Game Both Offenses will be able to move the Ball on the Ground to keep Possessions alive. Look for Mahomes & Wilson both to come up with Scrambling Rushing TDs. Mahomes is Fanduels Top Projected Player in Week 16 & Wilson is Ranked 4th. KC/SEA AWAY/HOME REDZONE SCORING TD % KC AWAY 76.67% SEA HOME 65.00% KC/SEA AWAY/HOME 3RD DOWN CONVERSION % KC AWAY 46.58% SEA HOME 39.74% This Game will be a Wild one the whole way through & Will be decided in the last 4 minutes of the 4th Quarter. Don't be surprised to see Alot of Whistles in this one. Seahawks & Chiefs are the Most Penalized Teams in the The NFL. KC is Ranked 30th (0.06) & SEA is 32nd (0.07) at Penalties per Play. Officials will keep this game close for Rating purposes. The Head Referee is Bill Vinovich. His crew is 7-6 Home Teams Winning. This is the same crew that Called the Last Pittsburgh Chargers Game. They called 12 Penalties overall. Their was a Clear Offsides No Call on a LAC Pass TD that was wide open due to defense assuming their was a Flag. This happened in the 1st Half as a response to The Steelers Scoring Back to Back TD Drives to gain a 14 point lead. I anticipate KC Winning by 3-7 points after the 4 minute mark in the 4th Quarter. KC -2.5 O54

Steelers vs Saints & The Numbers

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5.5 Point Underdogs with a Money Line of +215 as they Travel down to New Orleans Super Dome on Sunday. The Saints Played a Tough Division Game vs Carolina with Playoff Implications on the Line on Monday Night. HC Mike Tomlin & Staff should be Implementing a Simple Game Plan with a High Run Play percentage. Steelers OC Randy Fichtner & QB Ben Roethlisberger lean heavily on the Short Passing Game to allow his Playmakers to create Yards after Catch. Roethlisberger is leading the NFL in the QB Yards after Catch department. The Steelers Offense has been Converting TDs in the Red Area at an NFL High Rate. The Offense has to stay Creative on 3rd Downs to maintain Possession to have a High Drive Success Rate to keep the Defense Fresh. OC Fichtner has to Limit Roethlisbergers Attempts & Aggressiveness to lower his high Turnover Rate. Roethlisberger leads the NFL in Red Area Interceptions and has 6 Fumbles on the year. The Steelers Defense has been playing at a higher level up front on the Interior Line and off the Edges to Create Sacks Pressures Hurries & Play Disruption. DC Keith Butler has the Steelers Blitzing at an NFL high Rate. They are going to need to consistently apply pressure to force MVP Candidate Brees into low Bad Pass percentages which is going to be hard because he is so Smart & Precise with the Ball. The Steelers Secondary will have to Play Smart & have successfull Pre/Post Snap Communications. DC Butler will have to make in game defensive Adjustments to stay on top of The Saints HC Sean Payton & Offense. I believe the Steelers Defense Matches up Good with The Saints offense. Thoe Saints will Run the Ball with Power & look to get WR Michael Thomas into favorable matchups. The Steelers DC can't allow Thomas to get matched up on LBs in the Slot. HC Payton & QB Brees will be looking to exploit those Deficiencies all night. The Steelers Field Goal Kicker Boswell has been struggling bad and they need him to convert. However I still have Steelers Winning this Game by 2-4 Points. I am giving the Edge to Steelers OL & WRs on Offense and DL & Edge Rushers on Defense. I am not Picking The Steelers to Cover the 5.5 Point Spread but I am Taking the +215 MoneyLine to Win the Game Straight Up. I am also taking the Total to go Under 52.5 in this Defensive Grinder. This is the GOLDLOCK of the WEEK.

3 DOG MONEYLINE PARLAY

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