Monday, August 21, 2023

Steelers are SB contenders

The Steelers are Superbowl contenders this'23 season based upon a complete Team. The Defense will lead the way to a championship. Its starts on yhe defensive line with TJ Cam Highsmith and Herbig. They will have over 30 sacks combined this year. As long as their is pressure on QB than the DBs dont have to cover as long asndbleads to Turnovers . The DBs are vets and ballhawks in Minka and Pat Peterson . I can see over 20 Turnovers for the Steelers. Steelers have a favorable schedule with some primetime games. The Offense is being led by Kenny Pickett,who broke all Dan Marinos stats at PITT. Picket is in year #2 . I was at Training Camp at Saint Vincent in Latrobe PA and saw Kenny throwing over 40 yards easily. He can beat you rolling out to either right or left and throwing dimes to WRs. He has the right Velocity and Accuracy in or out of the pocket. Omar Khan got him some Oline Protection in Broderick Jones . They made some Fre agent moves on Oline to help pass and run game. Picket to Pickens will be top 5 QB WR duos in NFL. Picken is a Star in the making. He catches everything regardless of coverage. They got D.Johnson which is a sharp Route runner . They even got Free agent Allen Robinson who is money on 3rd downs. The Tight end room is deep as well. Darnell Washington is a rookie but he is a monster and will help with blocking in both phases of game but he is a huge target i pass game. Freiermuth is a beast and will make a living over the middle of field. The Run game may be best duo in NFL in Harris and Warren . Harris is ground and pound to wear defenses out and then Warren comes in with Breakaway speed to take it to Endzone for TD. They both can catch on hot routes . So the only 2 teams that are clearly better than Steelers. KC and Eagle's. It dont matter how good your defense is against those teams who put up 30 plus points per game . The Steelers will average 24 pts per game. So if defense plays at elite level against Mahomes or Hurts . They will need Turnovers to have a chance to win against those teams. I believe Steelers can beat anyone in AFC as long as starters stay healthy. This Team is Superbowl bound.

Friday, December 21, 2018

KC@SEA Playoff Implications

The Kansas City Chiefs are the No. 1 seed in the AFC and control their own destiny, but a loss could drop them to the No. 5 seed in the conference. Seattle is fighting for a Wild Card spot in the NFC after a Tough loss at San Francisco last week. The Chiefs are the Last AFC Team to Travel to Seattle and Earn a Win back in 2010. I am looking for KC to do it again this Week. Although KC is the Road Team in this Matchup The Sportsbooks have them as Slight 2.5 Point Favorites. KC currently has the Best Offense in the NFL ranking No. 1 in points per game (35.6) yards per game (427.2), and yards per play (6.8). Mahomes deserves the NFL MVP in my opinion. He is a Dynamic Playmaker and his arm gets stronger as the Game & Season Progress. He simply wears Defenses down from the ability to make last second decisions in the Passing or Running Game. However I think Mahomes does have to make better decisions with the ball in big Games. In Key moments vs LAC & LAR within the last month he has came up short Losing those games by a combination of 4 Points. However Seattle also lost back to back games vs LAR & LAC. Seattle's Defense has some serious issues coming into this game. The defense is currently allowing 4.9 yards per rush (27th) and 7.3 yards per pass (25th). They are having trouble playing the Run & Pass so the Oppositions Play book is wide open. Not only are they not Executing but the Defense is plagued with injuries. Here is a Laundry list of Injured Defenders thats OUT/Questionable : Kam Chancellor S Earl Thomas S Bradley McDougal S Tedric Thompson S Maurice Alexander S Shaquill Griffin CB Mychal Kendrick LB K.J. Wright LB Shamar Stephen DT Dion Jordan DE Jarran Reed DT Frank Clark DE There is no way I can Trust this defense to Hold the Best Offense in the NFL and on top of that Seattles Offense is Dealing with Serious Injuries at Key Positions. Their starting RB is Chris Carsons who is 3rd String at Best with 2 of their Starting Gaurds Out in Simmons & Fluker. That's not a Good Combination when Seattle is The most run-heavy offense in the league at 52.2%. Their will be Alot of Pressure on Russ Wilson to Deliver especially if his Top WR Doug Baldwin who is Questionable for this Game is out. QB Russell Wilson has also been inefficient leading to an NFL-best 0.7 turnovers per game. The Chiefs Front 7 is one of the Best in Football & The Strength of their Defense. Plus with the Comeback of All Pro Safety Eric Berry back in the Lineup I look for This Overall Unit to have a High Turnover Probability from Forcing Wilson out of the Pocket creating Sacks Pressures & Hurries. I give the Edge to KC to Cover the Spread based off of this Injury List & Situational Play Based Factors. The Over is in Play as well on the Point Total of 54. I don't see either Defense being able to Shut down the Run Game so regardless of what happens in the Passing Game Both Offenses will be able to move the Ball on the Ground to keep Possessions alive. Look for Mahomes & Wilson both to come up with Scrambling Rushing TDs. Mahomes is Fanduels Top Projected Player in Week 16 & Wilson is Ranked 4th. KC/SEA AWAY/HOME REDZONE SCORING TD % KC AWAY 76.67% SEA HOME 65.00% KC/SEA AWAY/HOME 3RD DOWN CONVERSION % KC AWAY 46.58% SEA HOME 39.74% This Game will be a Wild one the whole way through & Will be decided in the last 4 minutes of the 4th Quarter. Don't be surprised to see Alot of Whistles in this one. Seahawks & Chiefs are the Most Penalized Teams in the The NFL. KC is Ranked 30th (0.06) & SEA is 32nd (0.07) at Penalties per Play. Officials will keep this game close for Rating purposes. The Head Referee is Bill Vinovich. His crew is 7-6 Home Teams Winning. This is the same crew that Called the Last Pittsburgh Chargers Game. They called 12 Penalties overall. Their was a Clear Offsides No Call on a LAC Pass TD that was wide open due to defense assuming their was a Flag. This happened in the 1st Half as a response to The Steelers Scoring Back to Back TD Drives to gain a 14 point lead. I anticipate KC Winning by 3-7 points after the 4 minute mark in the 4th Quarter. KC -2.5 O54

Thursday, December 20, 2018

Steelers vs Saints & The Numbers

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5.5 Point Underdogs with a Money Line of +215 as they Travel down to New Orleans Super Dome on Sunday. The Saints Played a Tough Division Game vs Carolina with Playoff Implications on the Line on Monday Night. HC Mike Tomlin & Staff should be Implementing a Simple Game Plan with a High Run Play percentage. Steelers OC Randy Fichtner & QB Ben Roethlisberger lean heavily on the Short Passing Game to allow his Playmakers to create Yards after Catch. Roethlisberger is leading the NFL in the QB Yards after Catch department. The Steelers Offense has been Converting TDs in the Red Area at an NFL High Rate. The Offense has to stay Creative on 3rd Downs to maintain Possession to have a High Drive Success Rate to keep the Defense Fresh. OC Fichtner has to Limit Roethlisbergers Attempts & Aggressiveness to lower his high Turnover Rate. Roethlisberger leads the NFL in Red Area Interceptions and has 6 Fumbles on the year. The Steelers Defense has been playing at a higher level up front on the Interior Line and off the Edges to Create Sacks Pressures Hurries & Play Disruption. DC Keith Butler has the Steelers Blitzing at an NFL high Rate. They are going to need to consistently apply pressure to force MVP Candidate Brees into low Bad Pass percentages which is going to be hard because he is so Smart & Precise with the Ball. The Steelers Secondary will have to Play Smart & have successfull Pre/Post Snap Communications. DC Butler will have to make in game defensive Adjustments to stay on top of The Saints HC Sean Payton & Offense. I believe the Steelers Defense Matches up Good with The Saints offense. Thoe Saints will Run the Ball with Power & look to get WR Michael Thomas into favorable matchups. The Steelers DC can't allow Thomas to get matched up on LBs in the Slot. HC Payton & QB Brees will be looking to exploit those Deficiencies all night. The Steelers Field Goal Kicker Boswell has been struggling bad and they need him to convert. However I still have Steelers Winning this Game by 2-4 Points. I am giving the Edge to Steelers OL & WRs on Offense and DL & Edge Rushers on Defense. I am not Picking The Steelers to Cover the 5.5 Point Spread but I am Taking the +215 MoneyLine to Win the Game Straight Up. I am also taking the Total to go Under 52.5 in this Defensive Grinder. This is the GOLDLOCK of the WEEK.

Saturday, September 29, 2018

NFL WEEK 4 PICKS VS SPREAD

SteelCityRings-Pittsburgh Steelers

WEEK 4 NFL PICKS VS THE SPREAD

MIA@NE - MIA+7
HOU@IND - IND PICK
CIN@ATL - CIN+3.5
BUF@GB - BUF+10
DET@DAL - DET+3
NYJ@JAX - JAX-7.5
TB@CHI-TB+3
PHI@TEN - PHI-3
SEA@ARI- ARI+3
CLE@OAK- OAK-3
SF@LAC- LAC-10.5
NO@NYG- NYG+3.5
BAL@PIT- BAL+3
KC@DEN- DEN+5
















Thursday, December 28, 2017

The Path to 7

SteelCityRings-Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are in the Playoffs with a 1st round Bye & an opportunity to make a run through the AFC to Represent the AFC in the SB . Although it won't be an easy task with Powerful Teams such as, NE, Jax, Baltimore & KC trying to Power their way to the Top as well. The New England Patriots will have HFA unless they lose in Foxboro this weekend to the NYJ which is a stretch. So if Pittsburgh keeps advancing in playoffs they would likely end up Playing NE in Foxboro if nooneelse knocks NE off. Baltimore seems to have better odds in defeating NE in NE as they have previously done in the AFC Championship. Pittsburgh has never went into Foxboro to Win a Playoff game against Belichick & Brady . This Pittsburgh Steelers team is capable of Winning their though. They have a dominant Offense & A Solid Defense who is at the Top of the NFL (2nd) in Sacks . The problem comes along when The Steelers have to play the guys in Black & White Stripes also. They seem to be Rigging Games to favor NE. The Refs have taken away 2 very important game changing TDs in last 2 weeks against NE when They Over Ruled the Jesse James TD & Buffalo's Kelvin Benjamin TD. Lets Just Hope the NFL & Zebras aren't in the pockets of  Robert Kraft Owner of the Pats & Kraft Products.
We seem to forget what Jacksonville did to Pittsburgh also. They created 5 TO's to Blow the Steelers out. Blake Bortles is playing the QB position s good as anyone in the NFL right now & they have a 3 Headed Monster in the backfield who are young powerful RBs in Fournette Ivory & Yeldon along with Big Time WRs in Lee, Hurns, Dede & Benn . Bortles has a Reliable TE in Lewis & O. The offense is capable of beating anyone in NFL in any style of play including Ground & Pound, Shootouts & Backyard Scrambles.
The defense is one of the Most Talented Defense I have ever seen. Literally. They are dominant across the board  DL/DEs/LBs/CBs/SS . IMO JAX is the biggest Threat to Pittsburgh in the AFC.
The Steelers are playing at a Championship level but at the end of the day you need the Ball to bounce your way here & there to Win it All.
#HereWeGo #SteelCityRings #SteelerFootball

Saturday, August 19, 2017

Steven Calimer's Fantasy Football Championship On The Clock Edition

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If you want to win your Fantasy Football league than you need to start with having a solid Draft. I am a big believer in the saying, " Hitting on Your 1st round draft pick won't Win you a Fantasy Championship but busting out on your 1st round draft pick will definitely lose it for you."
With that being said , I am of the philosophy that the Middle to Late round draft picks is where you Win a Fantasy Football  Championship. That's where the Average Draft Positions come into play . It's where you find Value. The Diamonds in the rough. If I can get a Starting Running Back in the Mid to Late rounds I will draft that player no matter what their projections are. I know in the NFL and in Fantasy football that anything can happen any given week and all I have to do is win 1 week at a time. A starting player can help me do that . I don't draft based on hype or Popular Names . I draft based on a Players Target Opportunities. Their is more to Drafting a Fantasy Football Championship Team than taking ESPNs next best Players ADP Ranking that is available on the board. If that is your approach you will never win a Championship in a knowledgeable Fantasy league. If that's the case just put the Computer on Auto Draft and give me your money .
I construct teams through the draft and Wire . I do not have to worry about relying on another player for a Trade . In order to achieve this success you have to let the draft call to you and have a solid understanding of every NFL teams situation, personnel and Schemes. It all goes back to Legit Opportunities.  I look for Running Backs behind Above Average Offensive Line play . The RB depth chart is very important because RBs tend to get injured often. Plus RB is a young man's position so don't be scared of a breakout year for a rookie . I like Dalvin Cook in 2017. He has good chance to start and the Offense is good enough that he will see TD ops. Fantasy Gurus will tell you that you can't predict TDs. To a point I agree but I can foresee RZ/TD Opportunities based on productivity of offense and players abilities. For example, The Patriots leaned on Blount in RZ last year because he is a Bull and The Pats are always in the Red Zone which equals TD production . Who is the Goal Line Back ? This year I like Dalvin Cooks DAP and situation in Minnesota. He is a 3 down back who can do it all. Minnesota's offense is good enough that he will see a fair amount of TD opportunities. The good thing is the QB and WR is just good enough to get into Red Zone but not great at converting through the air in the End Zone with their WRss so I foresee Cooks ability to catch and line up in slot or pound the rock between the tackles to be Minnesota's best asset in the Red Zone. Minnesota has some good fantasy personnel in 2017 beyond Dalvin Cook also.
When I analyze WRs I look for Targets and who is their QB. I would rather have Aaron Rodgers number 2 WR Devante Adams than The Browns #1 WR last year in Pryor.  I like WRs in Pass first offenses. I can draft a Stefon Diggs late who is a slot machine who creates YAC like a Punt Returner. He will consistently get the Offense up and down the field with a decent QB which they now have in Sam Bradford. It seems Bradford is being rejuvenated in Minnesota. I also look for Big Deep Post Route WRs who excel in RZ also. Martavis Bryant fits that profile . He offers a 3rd round ADP and will straight up help you Win weeks . Their is plenty of players who will help win you weeks with late round ADPs . They are not on ESPNs radar yet . That's the difference.
I will not reach for a Tight End either. I look for a Athletic TE who will be a safety Blanket for a QB . You can select Drew Brees TE Fleener with a 160 ADP. Andrew Lucks TE Doyle will be available around Fleeners ADP as well . I can take Rivers TE Hunter Henry around the same tier . My breakout TE candidate in 2017 is The Ravens Maxx Williams . He will have his opportunities on a struggling offense with a Rookie/Backup QB under center . They will rely on him to move the chains and in the End Zone. Maxx will be on the Wire . That's the funny part . I am not desperate for a TE.
As far as drafting a QB I will also wait until later rounds where I can select Ben Roethlisberger , Phillip Rivers , Eli Manning or Matt Stafford in the same tier at 94 ADP. They are the 13-14-15-16 QBs off the board. All of them are Gunslingers who can throw for 30 + TDs and 4500 yards . They all have weapons. I will be just fine .
I will not draft a Defense nor a kicker in my drafts . I will draft 2 extra RB/WR until week 1 rolls around and then I will stream those positions week to week. Anything can happen in pre season or camp so injuries will happen . That's my insurance.
I will give you some nuggets for reading and supporting the article. My favorite RBs are Of coarse with the # 1 overall pick David Johnson. He is the best RB in NFL. I am staying away from LevBell in 2017. Just my opinion. I am high on Melvin Gordon. He is my # 2 RB in 2017. My mid round RBs are Dalvin Cook , Gillisee , Lynch , CJ Anderson , Powell, Kelley and Woodhead . I like Henry , Coleman , Lacy and AP are all mid round RB 2 Cuffs primed for more opportunity.  2017 the RB position is deep. Their are tons of Depth chart battles going on right now . You will find solid handcuffs with Starting potential on the Wire in 2017. DeAngelo Henderson and James Connor are 2 handcuffs I like that will be on Wire.
The WR position is interesting in 2017. I believe AntonioBrown will Lead the NFL in Yards . I like Julio & Adams this year but they will cost a 1st round pick . I would not draft AJ Green in 1st round in 2017. JS. I am high on Mike Thomas, Doug Baldwin, Tyreek Hill , Martavis Bryfant , Brandon Marshall , Stephon Diggs, Willie Snead , Cam Meredith, Kelvin Benjamin and Rishard Matthews . Their a bunch of WRs who can win me a week who will be available late. I like JJ Nelson , Taylor Gabriel and Tyler Lockett as late round hits.
As I said I will wait on TE but wouldn't mind having Bennett. That's as high as I would draft TE. I will wait for Fleener , Hunter , Doyle and Gates . Very late round value is their in Cam Brate & Maxx Williams . I can stream YEs if I want .
Well that wraps up some of my thoughts on the 2017 Fantasy Football Draft .